Charts of the Week
Charts of the week from 18 to 22 November 2024: number of persons in employment, average gross wage per employee, Slovenian industrial producer prices and other charts
After growth stalled at mid-year, the number of persons in employment rose slightly in September (seasonally adjusted), with year-on-year growth (1.2%) remaining consistent with previous months. In September, year-on-year growth in the average gross wage remained relatively high (5.5% in real terms and 6.1% in nominal terms). In the public sector, wage growth was primarily driven by an increase in the value of the pay scale grades following a partial wage adjustment for inflation in June. In the private sector, where wage growth has outpaced that of the public sector this year, labour shortages continue to play a significant role in driving wage increases. Slovenian industrial producer prices declined year-on-year again in October, still largely due to lower prices of energy and intermediate goods. Electricity consumption in the distribution network was lower year-on-year in October in all consumption groups.
Number of persons in employment, September 2024
After growth came to a standstill at mid-year, the number of persons in employment rose slightly in September (seasonally adjusted), while year-on-year growth (1.2%) was similar to previous months. In September, year-on-year growth remained higher than at the end of last year (0.6%), as its this year’s acceleration is largely due to a change in the definition of persons in employment at the beginning of the year, which now includes workers posted abroad. In September, year-on-year growth in the number of persons in employment was again strongest in construction, which is facing a severe labour shortage, further impacted by the aforementioned change in definition. As has been the case for the previous one-year period, the year-on-year increase in the overall number of persons in employment was driven by a rise in the number of employed foreign nationals, while the number of employed Slovenian citizens fell. The share of foreign citizens among all persons in employment was 15.9% in September, 1.2 p.p. higher than a year earlier. The activities with the highest shares of foreign workers were construction (50%), transportation and storage (34%) and administrative and support service activities (28%).
Average gross wage per employee, September 2024
In September, the year-on-year real growth in the average wage remained relatively high (5.5%). In the public sector, wage growth accelerated slightly (4%), which, in addition to the increase in the value of the pay scale grades in June, is also due to the relatively low base from last year. In the private sector, year-on-year wage growth in September (6.3%) was higher in real terms than on average in the first eight months. This was primarily due to lower year-on-year inflation amid continued strong upward pressure on (nominal) wage growth stemming from a shortage of labour. In the first nine months, overall average gross wage rose by 6.5% year-on-year in nominal terms, with increases of 7.6% in the public sector and 4.3% in the private sector. These increases, however, were lower in both sectors compared to the same period last year.
Slovenian industrial producer prices, October 2024
Slovenian industrial producer prices continued to decline year-on-year in October, falling by 1.3%. This drop was primarily driven by lower prices of energy (-6.2% month-on-month, -15% year-on-year) and intermediate goods (-0.3% month-on-month, -1.3% year-on-year). Meanwhile, the prices of capital goods remained largely unchanged year-on-year (+0.1%), and the year-on-year growth in consumer goods prices has held steady since July (1%). Among consumer goods, prices of non-durable goods rose by 1.9%, whereas prices of durable goods fell by 2.1%. On the domestic market, prices decreased by 2.4% year-on-year in October, while the decline in prices on foreign markets was less pronounced (-0.2%).
Electricity consumption by consumption group, October 2024
Electricity consumption in the distribution network was lower year-on-year in October. Despite one more working day, industrial consumption was 3.8% lower year-on-year, which could be partly attributed to holiday shutdowns and a different distribution of public holidays at the end of the month compared to last year. Household consumption was also down year-on-year (by 3.6%), while small business consumption was only 0.4% lower than in the same period last year.